oI whichI watched and graded all of Messi’s 800 goals to determine their average quality
Leo Messi is the greatest footballer to ever live. He’s a technical wizard, a world-class passer, an alien goal scoring machine and a remarkably consistent performer. For almost two decades, he’s been banging in ridiculous goals at an absurd clip. Last year, shortly after the World Cup, he passed 800 career senior goals (for Argentina, Barcelona and PSG).
Anecdotally, I felt (before doing this research) that Messi had scored many goals that no one else on the planet was or is capable of. He also scores an obscene number of goals that would be the career highlight for the vast majority of footballers — to Messi, it’s just another tally mark.
Anyways, maybe I’m having a manic episode, or maybe I’m just bored, but I decided to go through his (first) 800 goals, and try to categorize each one according to a subjective (but hopefully fair and transparent) rating system (1-5). Yes, this is an imperfect method. The goal: see if my perception of Messi’s goalscoring record matched reality. (I also couldn’t think of anything better to do to occupy my mind while I go through a breakup).
By my judgement, 296 of Messi’s 800 goals, or 37%, were 2s. This is the most common categorization, edging out the 3s.
If you’re keeping track, before we move onto level 3, we’ve categorized roughly 57% of Messi’s goals as level one or two, including penalties. If we only count non-penalty goals, levels one and two comprise just over 52% of Messi’s goals.
**LEVEL THREE**
This is the quintessential, bread and butter Messi goal that makes him so special. How many times have we seen him break down a defender and, seemingly out of nothing, be one on one with the keeper? How many times have we seen him produce a singular piece of skill that leads to a goal? How many one touch wall pass combinations has he played to slice through defenses like they weren’t there? This is the kind of goal that makes Messi, Messi.
This is the level where Messi creates magic out of thin air. These are goals that very few footballers have ever been capable of scoring, and that none have been capable of scoring at such volume as Messi. After watching all of his goals, what’s really remarkable is how unremarkable goals like this become after watching literally hundreds of them. Even for someone like me that has followed pretty much Messi’s whole career, so many of these special goals were brand new (which was a wonderful experience).
By my count, a whopping 232 of Messi’s 800 goals, or 29%, were 3s. If we’re only counting non-penalty goals, 3s are just under 37% of his goals. This was the second most common categorization, after the 2s.
**LEVEL FOUR**
This tier is where Messi goes from GOAT contender to the unquestionable greatest footballer to step foot on a pitch. These are goals which would be difficult to score on any pitch, under any circumstances, never mind against the best competition the world has to offer. If I ever scored a goal like this in my morning pickup league I might retire on the spot.
Anyways, what did we learn that we didn’t already know? Probably not much. I did confirm my hunch that Messi has a ridiculously high average level of difficulty on his goals. The average score that a non-penalty Messi goal received (a sample size of 690 goals) wasns that his average goal was somewhere between a quality strikers finish and a goal that most can only dream of. As the average tells us, roughly HALF of Messi’s non-penalty goals are goals rated 3 or above. Absurd.
I also learned that there are few better ways to distract yourself during a breakup than to watch and grade a 2 hour long video of Messi goals. And that whatever happens in this life, we are all blessed to have grown up watching this special man grace the pitch.