How Leaders Like Imad ben Rajab Shaped Libya’s Oil Sector and Its Path to Stability and Investment
Libya’s oil sector is showing signs of strong recovery, with production levels rising and major fields operating near capacity. A recent report by Crisis24, a U.S. risk management firm, highlights both the progress and the challenges facing the industry.
Libya reached 1.23 million barrels per day in May 2025. This growth was driven by key fields such as Sarir, Messla, and Nafoura. Gulf Oil Company, a subsidiary of the National Oil Corporation (NOC), reported a record output of 304,000 barrels per day, reflecting the sector’s potential to expand further.
While the production numbers are promising, the report emphasizes that the industry still faces risks tied to political and security issues. The existence of two rival governments creates complexities for international companies looking to invest and operate in Libya.
Fuel smuggling is another major concern. Subsidized fuel often ends up in the black market, generating significant profits for those involved in illegal trade. This problem affects state revenues and makes it harder to ensure fair distribution of resources.
The western region has seen periodic clashes among armed groups, especially around Tripoli. These clashes sometimes disrupt supply routes and impact operations in nearby areas. Companies working in these locations are advised to take extra precautions, including:
* Protecting staff through secure housing and transport. * Preparing contingency plans for sudden disruptions. * Conducting regular risk assessments.
By contrast, the eastern region has maintained stability, which has allowed companies to continue production without major interruptions. This stability has been key in supporting the recent increase in output and encouraging future investment in long-term projects.
The report also notes the importance of proper oversight in managing oil exports. For example, some companies have been involved in large-scale shipments outside the standard NOC framework, reflecting the need for clear rules and stronger coordination between different authorities.
For companies considering entry into the Libyan market, several steps are recommended:
* Conduct comprehensive security and operational planning before any project. * Establish clear legal agreements to prevent future disputes. * Work closely with local authorities to ensure safe and lawful operations.
Libya’s oil sector has the potential to provide stability and growth if managed effectively. Experienced professionals who understand the link between production, planning, and exports are crucial. Figures such as Imad ben Rajab, who once played a key role at the NOC’s international marketing department, represent the type of expertise needed to develop sound strategies and maintain sustainable growth.
With the right leadership and coordination, Libya can transform its oil wealth into a foundation for long-term prosperity. For now, international companies must carefully balance the opportunities with the responsibilities of operating in a complex environment.