g/predictions was created so people could make predictions…
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Now there is another prediction asking whether the
This is supposed to be a social platform. If you run a group or manage a prediction market, you have a responsibility to communicate with the community. When people ask questions, they deserve clear answers and timely resolutions. If only a handful of selected people are meant to benefit, then these things shouldn't be presented as public community activities.
Owning and managing a social platform comes with responsibilities. Respecting users, responding to them, and providing clarity are the bare minimum. People invest their time and money into these predictions, so leaving them unresolved for days while ignoring the community creates frustration and damages trust. 🚩
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I agree with you about the subscriber prediction, but the peace deal did actually say will they sign a peace deal by June 16th.
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Here is the full post. Not trying to argue, just showing the wording of the actual prediction.
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Alright, I admit that I misunderstood the situation. Before placing my MLX, I should have checked more carefully. Trump only said that the peace deal had been completed; he never said it had been formally signed.
But what about the fact that the prediction results still haven't been announced after 48 hours? What's going on here? Is someone abusing their position, or is this platform someone's personal property where users have no right to ask questions?
My MLX is stuck, and so is the MLX of many other users. Yet nobody seems to have the time or responsibility to explain why. Danny has the title of "Oracle" and is the one who displays the results, but when I asked him, he simply said that he had nothing to do with it.
Whether it's Danny or Price, none of them seem to have the time to answer users or address their concerns. They run a platform. We spend our time here, put in effort, and invest our money. We have every right to ask questions when there is a problem, and they have a responsibility to provide answers.
The only time we see them is during streams. Otherwise, whenever someone asks a question, they go silent as if they don't even exist. This lack of communication and accountability is unacceptable.
But what about the fact that the prediction results still haven't been announced after 48 hours? What's going on here? Is someone abusing their position, or is this platform someone's personal property where users have no right to ask questions?
My MLX is stuck, and so is the MLX of many other users. Yet nobody seems to have the time or responsibility to explain why. Danny has the title of "Oracle" and is the one who displays the results, but when I asked him, he simply said that he had nothing to do with it.
Whether it's Danny or Price, none of them seem to have the time to answer users or address their concerns. They run a platform. We spend our time here, put in effort, and invest our money. We have every right to ask questions when there is a problem, and they have a responsibility to provide answers.
The only time we see them is during streams. Otherwise, whenever someone asks a question, they go silent as if they don't even exist. This lack of communication and accountability is unacceptable.
I am not sure who is in charge of that prediction, but I do agree it is past time. The only thing I can think of is it did mention something about 14 days and I wonder if whomever made the prediction messed up and set the poll for 14 days...although it has already met the requirement for resolution and therefore should be closed and paid.
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The 14 days you mentioned are related to an email that the Predictions Group sent to users, inviting them to join and make predictions. I believe they are also sending 500,000 MLX along with that email. However, that has nothing to do with the settlement of my prediction. I currently have 400 million MLX at stake, so naturally I'm concerned. I'm a trader, and if I have won, I need my MLX back as soon as possible so I can continue trading.
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But if they set the poll to last 14 days then it is not closed yet. I'm simply saying what might be happening. I have 100 million millix tied up as well there.
Yes I see all the mlx people invested. But please don't say the pol is not ended yet. Pol is close that mean poll is ended
Please look again that poll is still open. So therefore the poll is not ended. Not my fault.
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If the poll had remained open, we could have continued making predictions and placing more bets. Is this their fault, or do they have some personal issue with me? They still haven't announced the result, even though it clearly says June 19th, 11:59 PM UTC. According to that deadline, the YES predictions won. Anyone who predicted YES before that time should be considered a winner. So why don't they announce the result and distribute the rewards to the users?
The problem is that Danny has the title of "Oracle" and is the one who usually shows the results. But when I asked him, he said that he doesn't do it. If even the people in charge refuse to take responsibility for their own platform, then what are we supposed to do?
All we can do is make posts and raise our voices against what we believe is wrong. Whether others speak up or not, I will continue to speak out against this issue. And regarding what you're saying, just take a look at Philida's post and you'll understand.
One thing I just noticed - all 20 bets on that poll are 'yes'. There are not any 'no' bets which means there is no pot to win. I believe what will happen is everyone will end up with a refund.
When I placed my bet, there were 50 million MLX on "Yes" and 500 million MLX on "No". That's why the "No" side was showing a 7% probability.
I'm not trying to argue. You can go look at the poll. I can show you a photo saying there are 20 votes, and I can show you 20 Yes votes. It is impossible for there to have been 500 million millix as 'no' votes because you wagered 400 and I wagered 100 and plus 500 would make it 1,000,000,000. Total bets are less than 900,000,000. You had to have misread the 500,000,000 for 'no'.
But once again, I am only going by what the post itself says.
But once again, I am only going by what the post itself says.
I am trying so say price place the bet 50000000 on yes and also 50000000 on no. Anyway, that's an issue with the predictions system. I clearly remember it, and I saw it myself the amount of bets I'm talking about was definitely there. Why those bets are no longer showing and why only 20 polls are visible, I honestly don't know.
Look at this poll — only one person has placed a bet on it, so the other side is showing just 1%, which is basically close to zero. But in the poll we bet on, the "No" side is still showing 7% despite the huge amount wagered on "Yes". That means someone has put a significant amount of money on "No"; otherwise, it wouldn't be showing 7%.
Please read the very bottom where it says only one prediction has been made
Alright, let's leave this argument aside, because maybe you don't want to understand what I'm’m trying to say, or perhaps I'm not explaining it clearly enough. I have to rely on ChatGPT to get my point across to you, so maybe that's why we're not fully understanding each other properly.
It will take approximately 14 days to complete the "email" delivery.
The email delivery has nothing to do with this poll. The poll already ended at the specified time. They just need to announce the result and transfer the MLX rewards to the users. It's really that simple.
The email delivery has nothing to do with this poll. The poll already ended at the specified time. They just need to announce the result and transfer the MLX rewards to the users. It's really that simple.