That story was implausible then and is even less credible now. Min Aung Hlaing relies heavily on Beijing for diplomatic cover, weapons, and political survival. Myanmar may sit in China’s backyard, but that does not mean the US should embrace a failing dictator to compete with Beijing. A weak, brutal, and internationally toxic regime is not a reliable partner. It does not control the country well enough or command sufficient legitimacy to end the conflict it unleashed.
If the US wants a stable partner in Southeast Asia, it must look beyond the capital. The real power brokers shaping Myanmar’s future are the resistance forces and ethnic armed groups that control key borderlands, resources, and local support and legitimacy. #local t