The 4-Year Cycle Isn’t Dead People who didn’t take profits…
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The 4-Year Cycle Isn’t Dead
People who didn’t take profits in Q4 are now pushing the “cycle is broken” narrative.
But the pattern is still visible:
2017 → Major top formed in Q4
2021 → Major top formed in Q4
2025 → Again showing similar late-cycle behavior
Across past cycles, each post-halving rally has typically:
Peaked in the late-year “green zone”
Followed by a harsh accumulation phase
Then a recovery phase most people didn’t expect
We may be seeing a similar structure again, just at different price levels and narratives.
BTC is currently around $74K.
From a cycle perspective, this still looks closer to a late expansion / early distribution phase, rather than a full macro reset.
Historically, deeper bottoms have tended to form well after the euphoric phase fades — often in the later part of the cycle window.
If the pattern continues, late 2026 (Q3/Q4) could align with a broader bottoming range — but that’s just a cyclical observation, not a certainty.
Not financial advice.
#cryptocurrency
People who didn’t take profits in Q4 are now pushing the “cycle is broken” narrative.
But the pattern is still visible:
2017 → Major top formed in Q4
2021 → Major top formed in Q4
2025 → Again showing similar late-cycle behavior
Across past cycles, each post-halving rally has typically:
Peaked in the late-year “green zone”
Followed by a harsh accumulation phase
Then a recovery phase most people didn’t expect
We may be seeing a similar structure again, just at different price levels and narratives.
BTC is currently around $74K.
From a cycle perspective, this still looks closer to a late expansion / early distribution phase, rather than a full macro reset.
Historically, deeper bottoms have tended to form well after the euphoric phase fades — often in the later part of the cycle window.
If the pattern continues, late 2026 (Q3/Q4) could align with a broader bottoming range — but that’s just a cyclical observation, not a certainty.
Not financial advice.
#cryptocurrency
| 3,000 mlx | |
| 5 | |
| 0 |