Supply and Demand for Bachelor Degree Jobs in the US
**\OC\] Data sources & methodology**
**What I measured:** Annual bachelor's graduate output vs. annual job openings requiring a bachelor's degree, for 391 US metro areas. The output is one number per metro — a pipeline fill rate (annual grads ÷ annual openings).
**Data:**
* BLS OES May 2024 — metro-level employment by occupation * State occupational projections (Projections Central 2022–2032) — 10-year forecasts for growth + separations by state * College Scorecard — annual graduate counts by program and institution
**Method:** Graduates are pooled at the state level and distributed to each metro proportionally by employment share. A UT Austin grad is as likely to end up in Dallas or Houston as Austin — this models that. Does not capture interstate migration, community college pipelines, or career changers.